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Capital Flows to developing countries: does the emperor have clothes?
This paper begins by examining the pattern of capital flows first to low-income countries, and then to emerging economies. In both cases, we see a dramatic collapse in the last several years. The evolving determinants of these trends in FDI flows (the principal category of private flows to low-income countries) and other capital flows are analysed. The behaviour of flows to emerging economies heavily influences both present and potential future flows to low-income countries. The paper concludes with the policy implications at both source countries and low-income recipient countries.